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Pandemic aid fraud: PPP and unemployment

2020–· Fraud or scheme

Fact, law or dataA rule, statute, definition or measured number.

Emergency COVID aid in 2020–21 was paid fast with few checks, and criminals stole an estimated hundreds of billions of dollars.

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How it works

To get money out quickly, the PPP let banks make forgivable business loans largely on borrowers' own word, and the SBA's disaster loans and states' expanded unemployment benefits skipped normal verification. Fraudsters invented businesses, inflated payrolls and filed claims with stolen identities; organized and foreign rings joined in. The SBA inspector general estimated over $200 billion in potentially fraudulent business aid, and the GAO estimated $100 billion to $135 billion in unemployment fraud.

Why it matters

It ranks among the largest frauds in US history and showed the trade-off in crisis relief: speed saves jobs, but skipping verification invites theft. Later programs stress data matching.

Facts, rules and data

SBA inspector general and GAO audits, Pandemic Response Accountability Committee reviews, and thousands of federal prosecutions, helped by 2022 laws extending the deadline to charge PPP and disaster-loan fraud to ten years.

Debates and risks

Estimates vary widely because fraud, error and honest mistakes blur together, and only a small share of the stolen money has been recovered.

Connections (3)

▸COVID-19 crash and rescue (2020) opened the door to Pandemic aid fraud: PPP and unemploymentFact, law or data

The connection

The rescue traded verification for speed. Congress ran PPP through private banks that relied on borrowers' own certifications, and opened jobless benefits to gig workers with no employer records to check, through states' outdated systems. Trillions moving in weeks, with weak identity checks, gave fraudsters an easy target.

When and why

The CARES Act of March 27, 2020, and follow-on laws through 2021; fraud hit the SBA and every state unemployment agency.

How we know

SBA inspector general reports linking losses to waived controls, and GAO work showing fraud rose where self-certification replaced checks.

Debates and risks

Whether slower, safer rules would have cost more in lost jobs and closed businesses than the fraud did is still debated.

▸Pandemic aid fraud: PPP and unemployment drained billions from emergency Fiscal policy: Congress, taxes and spendingFact, law or data

The connection

Fiscal policy works through programs, and pandemic relief showed that controls decide how much money reaches its target. Estimated losses equal several percent of total relief, and the experience pushed Congress and agencies toward identity checks and data matching before payment.

When and why

Relief laws of 2020–21, with oversight by the Pandemic Response Accountability Committee, the GAO and inspectors general.

How we know

GAO and inspector general audits quantifying improper and fraudulent payments program by program.

Debates and risks

How much fraud is an acceptable price for getting emergency money out fast has no settled answer, and it shapes debates over future relief.

▸SBA COVID Economic Injury Disaster Loans (EIDL) were heavily targeted by Pandemic aid fraud: PPP and unemploymentFact, law or data

The connection

To lend fast, the SBA relied on applicants' own statements about revenue and employees and skipped normal checks. Fraudsters invented businesses and used stolen identities. The SBA inspector general estimated about $136 billion of EIDL loans and grants were potentially fraudulent, more than in PPP.

When and why

Nationwide in 2020–22, including organized rings; thousands of federal prosecutions followed, helped by a ten-year charging deadline set in 2022.

How we know

SBA inspector-general reports, notably June 2023, GAO audits, and Justice Department prosecutions.

Debates and risks

Estimates mix fraud with error, and how much of the charged-off balance was fraud rather than failed businesses is unknown.